Kentucky Derby 2024 predictions, odds: Win, place, show, exacta, trifecta, plus superfecta expert picks

By: CBS Sports Posted On: May 03, 2024 View: 23

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It has been five years since the morning-line favorite won the Kentucky Derby, but the Todd Pletcher-trained Fierceness will hope to end that streak on Saturday at Kentucky Derby 150. Fierceness recorded a victory at the Florida Derby in his last start and is the 5-2 favorite according to the latest 2024 Kentucky Derby odds. If Fierceness wants to end the drought for Kentucky Derby favorites, he'll have to stave off elite 2024 Kentucky Derby horses. Sierra Leone (3-1) and Catching Freedom (8-1) are also among the top 2024 Kentucky Derby contenders, while T O Password (30-1) and Track Phantom (20-1) are intriguing longshots. The 2024 Kentucky Derby post time is 6:57 p.m. ET. With so much to consider while making your 2024 Kentucky Derby picks, a little expert help can go a long way.

Since 1915, only nine of 35 undefeated horses competing in the Kentucky Derby have gone on to win. Triple Crown winner Justify is the most recent to accomplish that feat in 2018. Forever Young (10-1) and T O Password (30-1) have a chance to become just the 10th horse to do so on Saturday. Forever Young is a perfect 5-for-5 in his career, with wins in the UAE Derby and Saudi Derby, among others. T O Password won the Fukuryu Stakes and is 2-0.

Given all the history, there's a method to picking which horses to focus on for exacta, trifecta and superfecta bets in a Kentucky Derby like this, and SportsLine expert Jody Demling knows what it is. He can help you make the best 2024 Kentucky Derby picks possible.

A fixture in the horse racing world who has been writing about, talking about and betting on races for years, Demling enters the 2024 Kentucky Derby having nailed the winner of the Belmont Stakes four of the last six years, including an exacta in 2022 with Mo Donegal and Nest. He also called Flightline's win at the Breeders' Cup Classic in November of that year.

Demling is at his best in the biggest horse races in the world like the Kentucky Derby 2024. In fact, he has hit 10 of the last 15 Derby-Oaks doubles at Churchill Downs. That means he held a ticket with the winners of both races all but five times in the last 15 years.

He's also called 10 of the last 19 Preakness winners, including nailing his Preakness winner, exacta and superfecta picks in 2023, keenly understanding when the Kentucky Derby winner was poised for victory or a massive upset. Anyone who has followed him is up huge. Now, he's sharing all of his 2024 Kentucky Derby bets here.

Top 2024 Kentucky Derby expert picks

Here's a refresher on these types of bets from SportsLine's Jody Demling:

Kentucky Derby Exacta: Pick the first- and second-place finishers in the correct order. A $2 exacta returned $330.44 at the 2023 Kentucky Derby with Mage and Two Phil's.

Kentucky Derby Trifecta: Pick the first-, second- and third-place finishers in the correct order. A $1 trifecta returned $982.36 at the 2023 Kentucky Derby with Mage, Two Phil's and Angel of Empire.

Kentucky Derby Superfecta: Pick the first-, second-, third- and fourth-place finishers in the correct order. A $1 superfecta returned a colossal $15,643.65 at the 2023 Kentucky Derby with Mage, Two Phil's, Angel of Empire and Disarm.

Demling is not taking Fierceness (5-2) to win this year, even though he's the favorite. Instead, he is building his tickets around Sierra Leone and a massive double-digit longshot who "keeps getting better and better." You can see his picks here.

How to make 2024 Kentucky Derby bets

Demling has specific recommendations for exacta, trifecta and superfecta wagers so you can cover all your bases at the Kentucky Derby 2024. He's sharing them over at SportsLine.

So which horses do you take? And in what combinations? Visit SportsLine to get Demling's picks for exacta, trifecta and superfecta bets for the 2024 Kentucky Derby.